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Tata Motors Strong 1QFY24 Results: Unveiling the Future of the Automobile Industry

Tata Motors Strong 1QFY24 Results: Unveiling the Future of the Automobile Industry

Tata Motors, an integral part of India's automobile industry, recently unveiled 1QFY24 results, showcasing significant growth led primarily by the Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) and Commercial Vehicles (CV) businesses. This blog post provides an in-depth exploration of the results, the management's outlook for the company, and the impact of the proposed DVR shares cancellation.

Overview of Tata Motors 1QFY24 Results

A noteworthy highlight from the 1QFY24 results involves Tata Motors' impressive consolidation of adjusted profit after tax (PAT), which stood at INR37b, outstripping estimates that projected a more modest INR18b. The consolidated net debt (auto) declined on a quarter-on-quarter basis by INR20b, falling to INR417b. These figures indicate robust fiscal management within the company.

Tata Motors' consolidated revenue exhibited substantial growth of 42% year-on-year, scaling up to INR1,022b in 1QFY24. This growth surpasses the estimated INR1003b, underscoring a healthy expansion of Tata Motors' market presence.

Performance of JLR and CV Businesses

The JLR and CV businesses emerged as strong performers in 1QFY24, demonstrating substantial growth and contributing significantly to the company's overall performance. JLR, an internationally renowned brand under Tata Motors, marked a robust 29% YoY volume growth, with volumes touching 106.25k units. JLR's Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) margin surged by 9.6pp YoY, bolstered by a favourable mix, increased R&D capitalization, and higher production.

The CV business demonstrated promising improvements with a 5% YoY increase in realization. The EBITDA margin rose by 400bp YoY, thanks to an improved mix and lower discounts. These figures anticipate an upcoming uptrend in the CV business, which might contribute substantially to Tata Motors' future growth.

Performance of PV Business

The Passenger Vehicles (PV) business brought a mixed bag of results. Realization improved by 2% YoY; however, the EBITDA margin declined by 90bp YoY due to an increased mix of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and higher fixed expenses following the Ford plant acquisition. This scenario calls for Tata Motors to focus on improving its PV business's profitability and reassess its EVs strategy.

The Impact of DVR Shares Cancellation Proposal

The proposal to cancel DVR shares by offering ordinary shares adds a new dimension to Tata Motors' fiscal strategy. Under the scheme, shareholders will receive seven Ordinary shares for every ten DVR shares. The proposal values DVR shares at a 30% discount to Ordinary shares, well below the historical average discount, potentially impacting shareholder value.

Management Commentary and Outlook for Tata Motors

Tata Motors' management expects demand to improve sequentially for the remainder of FY24, with a particular focus on gaining retail market share and delivering double-digit EBITDA in FY24. For the PV business, the onset of the festive season is likely to maintain steady demand, with Tata Motors projected to grow ahead of the market.

In the case of JLR, 2Q production and cash flow may be lower than 1Q due to the annual summer plant shutdown. However, wholesales and profitability are expected to align more with recent quarters. The EBIT margin guidance (6%) will undergo review post-2QFY24 to ensure clarity on the operating environment.

Closing Thoughts on Tata Motors

Tata Motors' 1QFY24 results present a landscape of substantial growth and indicate a promising future for the company. The robust performance of the JLR and CV businesses and the management's positive outlook provide reassurance about Tata Motors' stability and growth potential. The proposed DVR shares cancellation could have significant implications for shareholders and the company, and this strategy warrants close monitoring.

As supply-side issues ease for JLR, and a better mix, lower discounts, and operating leverage play out for all three businesses, Tata Motors stands poised for a healthy recovery. This performance speaks volumes about the company's resilience and adaptability in navigating a complex and ever-evolving automobile industry.

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